Race to Turin, daily: Fils and Halys hold the keys for Tiafoe and Jodar in Paris

Quentin Halys plays Tommy Paul and Arthur Fils faces Taylor Fritz on Thursday in Paris. Frances Tiafoe qualifies if one of the two Americans loses, and Rafael Jodar if both do, after Alex de Minaur and Novak Djokovic went out on Wednesday.

Frances Tiafoe, Rolex Paris Masters 2026 Frances Tiafoe, Rolex Paris Masters 2026 | © Chryslène Caillaud / PsNewz

Two French players will settle much of the race to the Nitto ATP Finals (Nov. 15-22) on Thursday at the Rolex Paris Masters. Quentin Halys faces 12th seed Tommy Paul at 11 a.m. on Court Central, and sixth seed Arthur Fils, already qualified, takes on 11th seed Taylor Fritz in the night session, not before 8:30 p.m.

Two places remain, and four men are still in contention. Frances Tiafoe will qualify if Paul or Fritz loses, and Rafael Jodar if both of them do, according to the ATP.

Six players are qualified: Alexander Zverev, Carlos Alcaraz, Ben Shelton, Daniil Medvedev, Flavio Cobolli and Fils, who became on Wednesday the first French player to qualify since Gael Monfils in 2016. With Jannik Sinner out for the season, ninth place is the last place in.

Race to Turin after Wednesday in Paris

#Player Pts
1Alexander Zverev
Qualified · Paris: lost to Lorenzo Musetti
9,350
2Jannik Sinner
Out for the season
7,950
3Carlos Alcaraz
Qualified · Paris: vs. Matteo Berrettini
5,200
4Ben Shelton
Qualified · Paris: vs. Arthur Rinderknech
4,620
5Daniil Medvedev
Qualified · Paris: lost to Ignacio Buse
3,820
6Flavio Cobolli
Qualified · withdrew from Paris
3,680
7Arthur Fils
Qualified · Paris: vs. Taylor Fritz
3,625
Qualified: 6 of 8 places
8Frances Tiafoe
Paris: lost to Quentin Halys
3,390
9Rafael Jodar
Paris: lost to Casper Ruud
3,234
Last place in: 9th
10Alex de Minaur
Paris: lost to Tomas Martin Etcheverry · out of the race
3,170
11Taylor Fritz
Paris: 11th seed, vs. Arthur Fils
2,950
12Novak Djokovic
Paris: lost to Rinky Hijikata · out of the race
2,940
13Tommy Paul
Paris: 12th seed, vs. Quentin Halys
2,825

PIF ATP Live Race to Turin, points since Jan. 1, after Wednesday’s matches, from the ATP media notes. Sinner is out for the season, so ninth place is the last place in. Tiafoe, Jodar, de Minaur and Djokovic are out of the Paris draw and cannot add points.

De Minaur and Djokovic out of the race to Turin

Two more contenders fell on Wednesday. Eighth seed Alex de Minaur, who needed a win to pass Jodar, lost 7-6 (2), 6-3 to Tomas Martin Etcheverry. Novak Djokovic lost 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 to qualifier Rinky Hijikata after taking the first set.

Both stay below Jodar’s 3,234 points with no more points to win. Tiafoe’s week is also over: he held four match points before losing 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 (9) to Halys, a defeat that sent Fils to Turin, and stays on 3,390.

Zverev and Medvedev, already qualified, also lost their opening matches on a day of upsets. Zverev lost 7-6 (5), 6-2 to Lorenzo Musetti and Medvedev 6-4, 6-4 to Ignacio Buse.

Paul and Fritz must win to stay in the race

Fritz, who hit 37 aces to beat qualifier Alex Molcan 6-7 (6), 7-5, 7-6 (5), and Paul, who beat Daniel Merida 6-1, 6-1, cannot afford a defeat on Thursday.

Fritz, on 2,950 points, would pass Jodar by reaching the semi-finals (3,250) and Tiafoe by reaching the final (3,500). Paul, on 2,825, needs the final (3,375) to pass Jodar and the title (3,725) to pass Tiafoe.

A run to the final would make sure of a place for either of them. Fritz could also qualify with the semi-finals, if Paul falls short of the final.

Their paths are not easy. In the quarter-finals, Fritz would face Carlos Alcaraz or Matteo Berrettini, and Paul would meet Ben Shelton or Arthur Rinderknech.

Paul and Fritz are in opposite halves of the draw. Tiafoe can only miss Turin if Paul wins the title by beating Fritz in the final.

What each contender needs in Paris

PlayerQualifies ifOut if
Frances TiafoePaul or Fritz losesPaul wins the title, beating Fritz in the final
Rafael JodarFritz misses the semi-finals and Paul misses the finalFritz reaches the semi-finals or Paul the final
Taylor FritzHe reaches the final, or the semi-finals with Paul short of the finalHe loses before the semi-finals, or in them while Paul reaches the final
Tommy PaulHe reaches the finalHe loses before the final

Calculated from the ATP totals and the points for each round. Paul and Fritz are in opposite halves of the draw.

What Thursday’s two matches can settle in Paris

If Halys and Fils both win, Tiafoe and Jodar qualify and the line-up for Turin is complete. If only one of them wins, Tiafoe qualifies, and Jodar’s place depends on the remaining American: Fritz would need the semi-finals to pass him, Paul the final.

If Paul and Fritz both win, nothing is settled on Thursday.

Fils, who beat qualifier Tomas Machac 6-3, 7-6 (4) on Wednesday night, meets Fritz a week after retiring against him in the Basel quarter-finals, trailing 6-2, 2-0.

Race totals by round reached in Paris

PlayerNowQFSFFW
Fritz2,9503,0503,2503,5003,850
Paul2,8252,9253,1253,3753,725

“Now”: current total, kept with a defeat on Thursday. QF, SF, F: total if he reaches that round. W: total with the title. Tiafoe stays on 3,390 and Jodar on 3,234. Source: ATP media notes.

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